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Rabobank cut its 2020 global pork production outlook to an 8% decline, citing COVID-19 plant disruptions in the US, Brazil and EU alongside African swine fever pressure in China and Southeast Asia. US live hog prices were down 41% year over year in early July due to ample inventories, and US pork exports were up 32% year to date.
Sharply lower global pork output, especially in China, supports longer-term demand for feed ingredients, while US hog oversupply keeps near-term hog prices weak.
meatingplace.comSusan KellyJul 28, 2020After 159 past bearish report events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 250 past neutral report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
