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Chicago soybean futures declined while China's soymeal prices rose, making it viable to process Brazilian beans for September loading into meal. Crush margins in China were at about a two-month high.
Hog disease in China is seen as possibly having a larger effect on soybean buyers than the trade war.
A hog disease that shrinks China's herd would cut feed demand for soymeal, which pressures meal prices, while strong crush margins keep Brazilian soybean imports flowing.
bloomberg.comBloomberg NewsAug 8, 2019After 167 past bearish disease events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (40% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.4%), and -0.8% over 20.
After 117 past bearish disease events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.6%), and +1.2% over 20.
After 12 past bullish disease events, Soybeans moved a median -0.5% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -1.6% to +0.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
