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WTI crude futures rose more than 7% to settle near $73 a barrel, their biggest one-day gain since March 2022. European natural gas also rallied and haven demand pushed gold higher.
Middle East supply fears lift energy costs, which feed through to diesel, freight and fertilizer costs for feed producers, while higher energy prices can also support biofuel-linked demand for soybean oil and corn.
bloomberg.comJack Wittels, Mia Gindis, Catherine CartierJun 12, 2025After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 250 past bullish geopolitics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +1.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -3.6% to +8.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 136 past bullish geopolitics events, Natural Gas moved a median +2.7% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -1.8% to +8.8%), and +4.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
WTI settled up more than 7%, its biggest one-day gain since March 2022, on Middle East supply fears.
Dated June 12, it reports WTI settling up over 7% on the biggest one-day gain since 2022, so crude input-cost and geopolitical risk sentiment lifted ULSD the same day.
WTI futures settled near $73 with a gain over 7%, the biggest one-day gain since March 2022, as the supply-risk premium rose.
WTI rose more than 7% for its biggest one-day gain since March 2022, in line with the Brent surge.
WTI's more than 7% one-day gain and haven demand reflect the same move, though the article is dated a day earlier.
