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Crude oil futures rose above $85 a barrel for the first time since 2014 as concern about shrinking Iranian exports outweighed higher US stockpiles. Emerging-market currencies were hit, with an Asian currency gauge set for its biggest weekly loss in a while.
Higher crude raises freight, fertilizer and biofuel-linked costs and pressures oil-importing emerging economies, which weakens their currencies and can dampen feed import demand.
bloomberg.comPaul WallaceOct 3, 2018After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 10 past neutral geopolitics events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.0%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
