Oil Leaps to 6-Month High as U.S. Vows to Strangle Iran Exports

After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.

• Apr 23, 2019Oil hits nearly 6-month highs as US aims to slash Iran's crude exports-1.0%
• Jul 24, 2017Saudis Focus on Oil-Export Curbs as Libya, Nigeria Pump More - Bloomberg+9.4%
• Mar 12, 2026Oil settles up 9% as Iran vows to keep Strait of Hormuz closed | Reuters+23.1%
• Oct 3, 2018Fresh Blow for Emerging Markets as Rising Oil Hits Importers - Bloomberg-0.2%
• Apr 2, 2026Oil Jumps After Trump Vows to Hit Iran ‘Extremely Hard’ - WSJ-2.8%

After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.

• Apr 23, 2019Oil hits nearly 6-month highs as US aims to slash Iran's crude exports-3.4%
• Jul 8, 2026Soybean Oil Hits Three-Week High as US-Iran Ceasefire Dissolves - Bloomberg+12.5%
• Jul 24, 2017Saudis Focus on Oil-Export Curbs as Libya, Nigeria Pump More - Bloomberg+8.6%
• Mar 12, 2026Oil settles up 9% as Iran vows to keep Strait of Hormuz closed | Reuters+10.6%
• Oct 3, 2018Fresh Blow for Emerging Markets as Rising Oil Hits Importers - Bloomberg-0.3%