
Chicago soybean oil futures rose to a three-week high after fresh US military strikes on Iran lifted crude prices. The most-active contract gained as much as 2.6%, its fifth straight day of gains.
Higher crude raises the value of biofuel feedstocks, which supports soybean oil demand and prices.
After 110 past bullish geopolitics events, SBO moved a median +1.8% over 5 sessions (65% higher; middle half -0.7% to +3.6%), and -0.4% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, WTI moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The US-Iran ceasefire collapse lifted crude prices and drove soybean oil to a three-week high on five straight gains, an energy-linked sentiment and biofuel margin driver at the start of the window.
Fresh US strikes on Iran and the collapse of the ceasefire lifted crude prices, as confirmed by soybean oil following crude higher.