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Chicago soybean oil rose as much as 3.4% as higher crude prices tied to the Iran war boosted the biofuel sector. Soyoil neared a fresh three-year high after Trump threatened to hit Iranian energy assets.
Higher crude raises the value of renewable diesel feedstock, lifting soyoil demand and prices, which also tightens the soy crush margin balance for meal.
bloomberg.comMichael HirtzerMar 30, 2026After 110 past bullish geopolitics events, Soybean Oil moved a median +1.8% over 5 sessions (65% higher; middle half -0.7% to +3.6%), and -0.4% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 72 past bullish geopolitics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +2.5%), and -1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
