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Soybean and corn futures hit one-month highs on October 23 after crude oil jumped 5% on US sanctions against Rosneft and Lukoil. Wheat rose 1.8% on firm cash markets and fund short-covering.
Traders also pointed to prospects for a US-China trade deal.
Higher crude oil lifts biofuel-linked soybean and corn prices, and US-China trade progress supports soybean demand expectations.
tradingview.comOct 23, 2025After 72 past bullish geopolitics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +2.5%), and -1.0% over 20.
After 323 past bullish geopolitics events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 361 past bullish geopolitics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.4% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
