Crude palm oil futures on Bursa Malaysia closed higher on October 7, 2024, as Middle East tensions drove a crude oil rally. The report describes the palm market moving in step with crude prices.
Crude-driven gains raise the biodiesel appeal of palm oil, which tends to lift edible oil prices broadly. Feed fat and vegetable oil buyers should expect firmer input costs while the conflict premium persists.
After 62 past bullish geopolitics events, Palm Oil moved a median +2.5% over 5 sessions (74% higher; middle half -0.1% to +5.8%), and +4.0% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
On Oct 7, palm closed higher in step with a crude oil rally on Middle East tensions, extending the gains into the final day of the window.