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China's palm, soybean and rapeseed oil futures rose on August 31, with spot palm oil in Guangzhou up 150 yuan per ton. International crude oil rose over 2% intraday on Middle East escalation, and Malaysia's derivatives exchange was closed for a holiday.
Higher crude oil raises biodiesel economics and vegetable oil prices, supporting palm, soy and rapeseed oil values used in feed fat blends.
gate.comGateNewsAug 29, 2026After 62 past bullish geopolitics events, Palm Oil moved a median +2.5% over 5 sessions (74% higher; middle half -0.1% to +5.8%), and +4.0% over 20.
After 110 past bullish geopolitics events, Soybean Oil moved a median +1.8% over 5 sessions (65% higher; middle half -0.7% to +3.6%), and -0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Aug 31 palm futures in China rose with crude up over 2% on Middle East escalation, while Malaysia was closed, so the price move reflects a catch-up to biodiesel-linked crude strength.
On Aug 31 crude rose over 2% on Middle East escalation and Chinese vegoil futures including soyoil climbed, a same-day energy-linked demand and biofuel-margin driver for soybean oil.
