Bursa Malaysia crude palm oil futures closed higher on Oct 2, 2024, with the spot October contract up 139 ringgit to 4,305 a tonne. Traders linked the gains to escalating Middle East tensions that lifted crude oil prices.
Higher crude raises the biodiesel value of palm oil and pulls vegetable oil prices up with it, supporting palm prices in the near term.
After 62 past bullish geopolitics events, Palm Oil moved a median +2.5% over 5 sessions (74% higher; middle half -0.1% to +5.8%), and +4.0% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Oct 2 CPO futures gained on Middle East tensions lifting crude, which raises palm's biodiesel-linked value and sentiment.
Oct 2 palm futures rose on escalating Middle East tension and higher crude, reinforcing the energy-driven rally.
Attributes gains to escalating Middle East tensions lifting crude on Oct 2, corroborating the driver, but it is a secondary palm-market report.