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Malaysian palm oil futures rose about 1% on October 3, 2024, to 4,045 ringgit a metric ton after Iran's missile strike on Israel raised fears of wider conflict. Brent crude climbed nearly 2% to $74.94 a barrel, and Chicago soyoil gained over 1%.
Higher crude prices from geopolitical risk make palm and soyoil more attractive for biodiesel, lifting edible oil prices. The EU's reported 36% drop in palm imports for 2024/25 also points to tighter supply.
ukragroconsult.comOct 3, 2024After 62 past bullish geopolitics events, Palm Oil moved a median +2.5% over 5 sessions (74% higher; middle half -0.1% to +5.8%), and +4.0% over 20.
After 110 past bullish geopolitics events, Soybean Oil moved a median +1.8% over 5 sessions (65% higher; middle half -0.7% to +3.6%), and -0.4% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Directly documents Brent rising nearly 2% to $74.94 on Oct 3 after Iran's strike on Israel raised fears of wider conflict, a sentiment-driven supply-risk premium contributing to the move.
Oct 3 palm rose about 1% as Brent and soyoil climbed on fears of wider conflict, continuing the energy-linked rally.
Oct 3 palm rose about 1% as Iran's strike on Israel lifted Brent and soyoil, adding to the geopolitical and crude-linked momentum.
