
Oil prices climbed sharply on Thursday as Middle East tensions mounted and the dollar fell. U.S. crude rose 5.4% to $56.65 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, its biggest daily gain in a long period.
Military tension in the Persian Gulf region raises the risk of supply disruption, pushing crude and energy costs higher for feed producers. A weaker dollar also makes dollar-priced commodities cheaper for buyers using other currencies, adding some support.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 33 past bearish geopolitics events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.2%), and -0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.