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Spot gold rose 2.5% to about $4,587 on March 25 as the dollar eased and oil fell below $100 on hopes of an end to the West Asia war. Trump said the US was making progress toward negotiating an end to the Iran war.
A softer dollar and lower crude reduce inflation and rate pressure, a mildly supportive backdrop for dollar-priced commodities, though ceasefire hopes could ease energy-driven support.
business-standard.comReutersMar 25, 2026After 33 past bearish geopolitics events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.2%), and -0.8% over 20.
After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
