Brent crude futures fell $1.22 to $114.10 per barrel and WTI dropped $1.33 to $101.45 as hopes of US-Iran peace talks eased supply fears. Brent had risen 1.3% and WTI 3% the previous day.
Easing supply fears lower the crude risk premium, which may slightly reduce diesel and transport costs for feed buyers.
After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.
After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.