
Oil prices eased on US-Iran talks and OPEC+ plans that raised concerns about supply. Alleviated fears of tariffs that could have suppressed fuel demand limited the losses.
Expectations of more OPEC+ supply cap crude's upside, which keeps biofuel and fertilizer input costs under pressure for feed producers.
After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.
After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.