Brent fell $1.22 to $114.10 and WTI fell $1.33 to $101.45 as peace hopes offset fears of wider Middle East conflict. Brent had risen 1.3% and WTI 3% the previous day.
Easing conflict risk lowers the crude price premium, which pressures energy-linked feedstock and biofuel values across the feed complex.
After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.
After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.