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Asian markets and the dollar fell on March 30 after Russia said it would reduce operations near Kyiv, sparking a relief rally in equities. Oil and gold initially fell, then recovered their losses, while OPEC+ was expected to make no surprise output changes.
Easing Ukraine tensions cut the crude risk premium and the dollar's safe-haven bid, but the move is not a ceasefire, so energy and feed prices remain volatile.
investing.comJeffrey HalleyMar 30, 2022After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, WTI moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, BRENT moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.
After 33 past bearish geopolitics events, DXY moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.2%), and -0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
