EUR/USD rallies above 1.1740 as easing trade tensions weaken Dollar

After 18 past bullish geopolitics events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (83% higher; middle half +0.9% to +2.0%), and +2.0% over 20.

• Jan 20, 2026EUR/USD rallies as escalating US-EU tensions crush the Dollar+2.5%
• Jan 20, 2026Euro Strengthens Above $1.17+2.5%
• Feb 22, 2022Dollar dips in choppy trade as investors weigh Ukraine scenarios | Reuters-0.9%
• Jan 20, 2026Dollar lower as investors reignite 'Sell America' trade | Reuters+2.5%
• Mar 10, 2022Sterling Vulnerable, Pound To Dollar Rate Lifeline As Global Equities Surge-0.7%

After 33 past bearish geopolitics events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.2%), and -0.8% over 20.

• Jan 20, 2026EUR/USD rallies as escalating US-EU tensions crush the Dollar-1.7%
• Jan 20, 2026Euro Strengthens Above $1.17-1.7%
• Feb 22, 2022Dollar dips in choppy trade as investors weigh Ukraine scenarios | Reuters+0.4%
• Mar 30, 2022Asia Session: 'Reduced' Russia Operations Sparks Relief Rally; Dollar Falls | Investing.com+0.1%
• Apr 8, 2026USD: Dollar Falls as US-Iran Ceasefire Reduces Demand for Haven Currencies - Bloomberg-1.6%