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Global equities rebounded strongly on hopes for a diplomatic solution in Ukraine, reducing demand for defensive assets. Sterling rallied toward 1.3200 against the dollar before easing to about 1.3165, and the euro also gained against the pound and dollar as oil prices slid.
Improved risk appetite and a weaker dollar generally support dollar-priced commodities, while lower oil prices reduce input and freight costs. Analysts warned that the rebound could reverse if a settlement fails.
exchangerates.org.ukTim ClaytonMar 10, 2022Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 18 past bullish geopolitics events, EURUSD moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (83% higher; middle half +0.9% to +2.0%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 33 past bearish geopolitics events, DXY moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.2%), and -0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
