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The dollar dipped slightly against major currencies after Putin recognised two breakaway Ukrainian regions and ordered troops there. Britain announced sanctions, Germany froze the Nord Stream 2 pipeline, and the US announced its first wave of sanctions.
Sanctions and the Nord Stream freeze raise European energy costs and tighten Black Sea supply expectations. The brief dollar dip is choppy and reflects uncertainty rather than a durable trend.
reuters.comChuck MikolajczakFeb 22, 2022After 33 past bearish geopolitics events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.2%), and -0.8% over 20.
After 18 past bullish geopolitics events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (83% higher; middle half +0.9% to +2.0%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
