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The euro rose more than 1.5% against the dollar as risk appetite returned and oil and commodity prices eased from peaks driven by Russia's invasion of Ukraine and Western sanctions. The euro had touched a 22-month low earlier in the week, and reports said the EU was discussing joint bond issuance to fund energy and defense spending.
Lower energy prices ease inflation pressure and reduce the dollar's safe-haven bid, which supports dollar-priced commodities and currency-linked feed input costs. Crude weakness also trims the cost of biofuel-linked and freight inputs.
cnbc.comReutersMar 9, 2022After 18 past bullish geopolitics events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (83% higher; middle half +0.9% to +2.0%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 33 past bearish geopolitics events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.2%), and -0.8% over 20.
After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.
After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Directly describes the euro's >1.5% surge on 2022-03-09 as risk appetite returned and oil/commodity prices eased, matching the move's timing and size.
