Euro rises as Putin sees 'positive shifts' in talks

After 18 past bullish geopolitics events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (83% higher; middle half +0.9% to +2.0%), and +2.0% over 20.

• Mar 9, 2022Euro surges as oil prices ease and investors embrace risk+0.9%
• Apr 24, 2017French Markets Surge as Euro Withstands Attack From the Right - The New York Times+1.9%
• Jan 19, 2026Trump's Europe tariff threat over Greenland revives talk of 'Sell America' trade | Reuters+2.5%
• Jan 20, 2026Euro Strengthens Above $1.17+2.5%
• Jan 22, 2026Stocks rise as dollar dips after Trump's walk-back of Greenland threats | Reuters+2.0%

After 33 past bearish geopolitics events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.2%), and -0.8% over 20.

• Mar 9, 2022Euro surges as oil prices ease and investors embrace risk-0.3%
• Apr 14, 2026Oil Down 3% as New US-Iran Talks Seen-0.6%
• Aug 24, 2020Sterling slips vs euro after scant progress in Brexit talks - Markets - Business Recorder-1.0%
• Jan 26, 2026Oil rises further as IEA predicts surplus in Q1 - The Nation Newspaper-0.8%
• Jan 19, 2026Trump's Europe tariff threat over Greenland revives talk of 'Sell America' trade | Reuters-1.7%