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Oil futures fell as much as 3% on reports that US and Iranian officials would hold a second round of talks in Islamabad. WTI for May was down about 3.2% near $95.90, and Brent was down about 1.5% near $97.88.
The current ceasefire expires April 21.
Energy prices are tracking diplomatic headlines, and a failed round of talks would likely lift crude and diesel costs again. Lower energy input costs would ease feed production and transport expenses if a deal holds.
dtnpf.comKarim Bastati DTN AnalystApr 14, 2026After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, WTI moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, BRENT moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.
After 51 past bearish geopolitics events, DIESEL moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -8.2% to +3.9%), and -2.3% over 20.
After 33 past bearish geopolitics events, DXY moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.2%), and -0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
