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Oil fell on Thursday after Brent dropped 82 cents to $104.20 and WTI declined to $97.66, extending losses from the previous session. Iran was responding to a US text, and Pakistan's army chief visited Tehran to help narrow differences.
The Strait of Hormuz remained mostly closed, and euro zone activity shrank sharply.
Progress in peace talks lowers the crude risk premium, which reduces energy costs for feed production. Weak euro zone demand also limits fuel consumption, adding downward pressure.
cnbc.comReutersMay 21, 2026After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
