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The dollar's Bloomberg gauge fell as much as 1% to a four-week low after a US-Iran ceasefire pushed crude futures sharply lower. Treasury yields also slid, reviving money-market bets on a US rate cut this year.
Lower crude reduces energy-cost pressure on feed and fuel inputs, while a weaker dollar supports dollar-priced commodity import demand.
bloomberg.comDavid Finnerty, Vassilis KaramanisApr 8, 2026After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.
After 33 past bearish geopolitics events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.2%), and -0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
A US-Iran ceasefire on April 8 cut safe-haven demand for the dollar, sending the Bloomberg dollar gauge down as much as 1% to a four-week low, which matches the move.
