
Oil prices fell about 4% in volatile trade after jumping about 6% in the prior session, as the US-Iran ceasefire held and two ships passed through the Strait of Hormuz. Brent settled at $109.87 and WTI at $102.27.
Limited passage through Hormuz and a fragile truce keep Gulf supply at risk, so crude remains elevated and volatile. Higher energy costs raise feed milling and freight expenses.
After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, BRENT moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.
After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, WTI moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
A holding ceasefire and ships transiting Hormuz lowered Brent about 4% to $109.87, contributing to the start of the weekly slide via easing supply-risk sentiment.