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Oil futures fell more than 2% on Friday, posting their steepest weekly decline since early April, as traders awaited confirmation that the US, Israel and Iran had agreed a ceasefire. Brent settled at $92.05 and WTI at $87.36.
The deal was not yet finalised, and the Strait of Hormuz remained closed.
Hopes of reopening the Strait of Hormuz reduce the risk premium on crude, which lowers energy and fuel costs for feed production and transport. A confirmed deal would likely push prices lower, while a collapse of talks could reverse the move.
reuters.comErwin SebaMay 29, 2026After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, WTI moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, BRENT moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
