
Brent settled up $1.08 at $85.33 a barrel after a Ukrainian drone strike caused a large fire at a fuel tank. Tensions in Europe and the Middle East supported prices.
Supply-risk premiums raise energy and freight costs that feed into livestock feed and vegetable oil pricing.
After 948 past geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.6% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -3.7% to +5.8%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.