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Western European wheat prices were mixed on Monday as Chicago fell and a weaker euro improved export prospects for German shipments. The EU crop monitoring service reported a sharp drop in the bloc's soft wheat yield, led by France, and kept its below-average maize yield forecast.
A lower EU soft wheat crop tightens European supply and supports prices, while a weaker euro makes EU wheat more competitive for export buyers.
agweek.comReuters MediaOct 24, 2016After 406 past neutral report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 15 past bearish report events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.4%), and -0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Confirms the Chicago slide on 24 Oct and a weaker euro, though the EU yield cut was a partial offset, so it is only modestly explanatory.
