
Grain markets were described as neutral to bullish after the November WASDE. USDA cut the soybean yield to 51.2 bpa, below trade estimates, while lower eastern Corn Belt yields from harvest losses drove most of the production change.
Ending stocks rose by 20 million bushels on a 40 million bushel export cut.
Soybean supplies are tighter than expected, supporting soybean and meal prices, while larger ending stocks limit corn and wheat gains.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 406 past neutral report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.