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Agweek commentary on March 19, 2017 says wheat markets were pressured over the prior week, falling to their lowest since early February. USDA data showed little change in US supplies while global stocks rose on higher Argentine and Australian output.
Attention is shifting to the upcoming Prospective Plantings report.
Higher global wheat stocks from Argentina and Australia weigh on prices, and the coming Prospective Plantings report will set acreage expectations for corn, soybeans and spring wheat.
agweek.comAlex Norton, Beeson Inc.Mar 19, 2017After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 138 past bearish report events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.9% to +2.4%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Weekly commentary shows wheat already at lowest since early February with rising global stocks, setting a weak technical and fundamental backdrop for the selloff.
