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The August 2023 WASDE report cut U.S. export expectations for corn, soybeans and wheat, and also trimmed domestic feed use for corn and soybeans. Markets rose early on Friday before closing lower.
Lower export and feed demand points to larger ending stocks unless prices fall enough to revive demand, so the net price effect is mildly bearish for corn and soft red and HRW wheat, while smaller crop production is friendly to spring wheat and soybeans.
agweek.comJenny SchlechtAug 11, 2023After 1,102 past bearish report events, CORN moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, SOY moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, WHEAT moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 138 past bearish report events, KWHEAT moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.9% to +2.4%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The August WASDE cut US export and feed use expectations for soybeans, a bearish demand signal, and markets closed lower after an early rise.
