
Grain and livestock futures ended mostly lower on March 9 after reversing early new highs. Soybeans hit two-year highs overnight and December corn neared $5 as crude oil traded as high as $119 when Israel attacked Iran's oil fields.
The G7 then announced a 700 million barrel oil release.
Energy-driven swings and heavy farmer selling pressured grains, while the surge in soyoil linked to crude supported soybeans.
After 87 past bearish geopolitics events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 72 past bullish geopolitics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +2.5%), and -1.0% over 20.
After 110 past bullish geopolitics events, Soybean Oil moved a median +1.8% over 5 sessions (65% higher; middle half -0.7% to +3.6%), and -0.4% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Directly describes March 9 grain declines: early new highs reversed as crude retreated from $119 after the G7 announced a 700 million barrel oil release, with farmer selling adding pressure.