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Russia said it would pull out of the UN-brokered Black Sea grain pact, which had let more than 9.5 million tonnes of corn, wheat, sunflower products, barley, rapeseed and soy leave three Ukrainian ports. Ukraine's military administration reported a record 354,500 tonnes of agricultural products leaving Odesa-region ports on Monday under the deal.
A collapse of the corridor threatens to cut Ukrainian grain and oilseed exports to import-dependent buyers, tightening global supplies and supporting wheat, corn and sunflower-related meal prices.
cnbcafrica.comReutersOct 31, 2022
reuters.comNigel Hunt, Naveen ThukralOct 31, 2022After 361 past bullish geopolitics events, WHEAT moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.4% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 323 past bullish geopolitics events, CORN moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 62 past bullish geopolitics events, PALMOIL moved a median +2.5% over 5 sessions (74% higher; middle half -0.1% to +5.8%), and +4.0% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Russia's pullout from the UN Black Sea grain pact is the geopolitical trigger that raised supply risk for sunflower oil and grains, spilling into palm.
