EUR/USD traded near 1.1051 on Friday, November 13, after touching 1.1043, its weakest level of 2026. The dollar index reached 103.30, its highest in 19 months, and French 10-year bond yields rose above 5% amid fiscal stress.
A stronger dollar and rate-hike expectations tend to pressure dollar-priced grain and oilseed markets while supporting the dollar against emerging-market currencies, which can shift export competitiveness.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.