
EUR/USD ended the week near its 2026 low at 1.1043, as Fed officials signaled possible further hikes amid inflation concerns. Tensions involving Iran, Saudi Arabia and the Houthis and French bond yields above 5% also weighed on the euro.
Hawkish Fed expectations and geopolitical risk aversion support the dollar, which can pressure dollar-priced grain and oilseed markets and affect export competitiveness.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.