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EUR/USD broke down to new 2016 lows as a Trump-driven rally in US equities and the dollar pushed US interest rates higher amid a bond sell-off. Traders expect Trump's infrastructure spending and tax cuts to raise inflation, while the euro lags on expectations of continued ECB easing.
Higher US rate expectations and a firmer dollar tend to weigh on dollar-priced grains and oilseeds, while rising US yields raise financing costs for feed-sector inventories.
forex.comGlobal authorNov 14, 2016After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
On 2016-11-14 EUR/USD broke to new 2016 lows as the Trump-driven rise in US yields and the dollar, combined with expected continued ECB easing, directly drove the euro's drop (currency/sentiment).
EUR/USD broke to new 2016 lows on Nov 14 as higher US rates and the Trump-driven dollar rally combined with expected ECB easing, directly explaining the drop.
