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The euro fell to its lowest since May after the ECB hiked rates and cut its growth forecasts while raising inflation outlooks. Strong U.S. retail sales and jobless claims data reinforced expectations that the U.S. economy will outperform the euro zone.
Diverging growth outlooks support the dollar and reduce expected U.S. rate cuts, a combination that generally pressures dollar-priced agricultural commodities.
marketpulse.comEdward MoyaSep 14, 2023After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
