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The dollar rose on strong US retail sales data while the euro fell as more central bank rate cuts were expected. Traders priced a high probability of a 25 basis point Fed cut and a further cut by the ECB.
Rate-cut expectations diverging between the Fed and other central banks support the dollar, which tends to pressure US commodity export competitiveness.
reuters.comKaren BrettellOct 17, 2024After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
