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The ECB raised rates by 25 basis points on July 27 and gave no commitment to further hikes, which hinted that a September pause is possible. Eurozone yields fell and the euro dropped back below 1.10 against the dollar.
The bank said decisions will depend on incoming data.
The shift toward a possible pause reduces support for the euro and lifts the dollar, which can make dollar-priced commodities more expensive for euro buyers. The impact on feed prices is minor.
marketpulse.comCraig ErlamJul 27, 2023After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
