EUR/USD fell to its lowest level since 31 March, holding near 1.1457. Markets are pricing further Fed tightening after the central bank kept rates unchanged but signaled possible hikes and raised its inflation projections.
Expectations of Fed tightening support the dollar, which typically pressures dollar-priced grains and oilseeds. A firmer dollar can also reduce the cost of imported feed ingredients for buyers in other currencies.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.