The dollar consolidated after its rally this week, which was supported by Fed pushback against a December cut and a US-China trade truce. Futures odds of a December cut fell to about two-thirds from near certainty.
Emerging market currencies were mixed, and the Argentine peso recovered after its election.
Persistent dollar strength on fewer expected Fed cuts pressures dollar-priced commodities, while the trade truce supports demand for US farm goods.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.