US dollar gains, sentiment still frayed; euro falters

After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.

• Jan 25, 2024US dollar gains after GDP data; euro falls to six-week low after dovish ECB, Lagarde | Reuters-0.0%
• Mar 3, 2022Euro extends recent fall, U.S. dollar gains ahead of jobs data+0.7%
• Mar 21, 2024Dollar gains on risk sentiment, Swiss franc falls on surprise rate cut+0.1%
• Nov 23, 2021Dollar gains, euro recovers on better than expected data | Reuters+0.5%
• Oct 13, 2023US consumer sentiment sours; dollar aiding inflation fight | Reuters+0.5%

After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.

• Jan 25, 2024US dollar gains after GDP data; euro falls to six-week low after dovish ECB, Lagarde | Reuters-0.4%
• Mar 3, 2022Euro extends recent fall, U.S. dollar gains ahead of jobs data-0.3%
• Oct 5, 2022Dollar gains as investors see Fed stance likely unchanged; euro, sterling fall-2.9%
• Sep 30, 2022Dollar gains on euro after inflation data, sterling falls+0.3%
• Apr 15, 2025Dollar gains on euro, yen, but tariffs keep investors cautious | Reuters+1.3%