
The euro extended recent declines and hit its lowest level since 2016 against sterling. The dollar index rose as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said he supported a 25-basis-point rate hike that month.
Investors also worried about rising oil prices after Russia's invasion of Ukraine.
Expectations of Fed tightening strengthen the dollar, which weighs on dollar-priced grain and meal values, while higher oil prices raise energy and freight costs for feed producers.
After 533 past bearish macro events, EURUSD moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
On 2022-03-03 the euro extended losses while the dollar firmed on Powell's support for a 25bp hike and oil worries, adding to dollar strength and euro weakness.
Powell's support for a 25bp hike and oil worries pushed the dollar higher on March 3 while the euro weakened.