
The euro extended its recent declines against sterling and the dollar on March 4, 2022, as rising oil prices after Russia's invasion of Ukraine weighed on the currency. The dollar gained on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's comments backing a 25-basis-point hike and on jobless claims data pointing to a firm labor market.
Expectations of Fed tightening lift the dollar and raise financing costs for feed buyers and producers. The euro's weakness also lowers the cost of European feed imports priced in dollars.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, EURUSD moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Reinforces the Powell hawkish comments and firm jobless claims boosting the dollar while oil weighed on the euro.