
The dollar index held near 16-month highs after Jerome Powell was picked for a second term as Fed chair, reinforcing expectations for US rate hikes in 2022. The euro bounced from 16-month lows after better-than-expected regional business growth.
Expectations of higher US rates strengthen the dollar, which tends to weigh on dollar-denominated commodity prices and supports the currency-driven competitiveness of US exporters versus Brazil and Argentina.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.