
The dollar rose against the euro on Friday but was on track for a fifth straight weekly loss after slower US consumer spending growth raised hopes the Fed would slow rate hikes. Euro zone inflation fell by the most on record in March while core inflation accelerated.
A weaker dollar supports US dollar-denominated grain and oilseed prices by making exports cheaper for foreign buyers, while softer US rate expectations tend to support commodity prices broadly.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.