US dollar gains but set for worst monthly loss in a year, euro falls

After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.

• Jan 26, 2018Dollar falls, set for biggest monthly drop in nearly 2 years-0.0%
• Nov 28, 2023US dollar skids to 3-1/2-month low, headed for biggest monthly drop in a year+0.2%
• May 31, 2021Dollar set for second consecutive monthly loss vs euro and pound | Euronews-0.2%
• Dec 28, 2023Dollar falls against yen, gains on euro in choppy trading+1.0%
• Mar 4, 2025Euro gains after German debt reform; US dollar falls-1.2%

After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.

• May 31, 2021Dollar set for second consecutive monthly loss vs euro and pound | Euronews+0.0%
• Mar 4, 2025Euro gains after German debt reform; US dollar falls+3.2%
• Mar 31, 2023Dollar up vs. euro but remains on track for weekly loss after inflation data+0.3%
• Dec 1, 2017FOREX-Dollar gains vs yen on US tax reform hopes but sags against euro, pound-0.9%
• Nov 26, 2020Euro rises to near 3-month high as US dollar falls - The Business Times+2.0%