The dollar was set for its second consecutive monthly loss against the euro and pound on May 31, 2021, after a surge in U.S. core PCE inflation to 3.1%, the highest since 1992. The euro traded flat near $1.2195 and sterling near $1.4173 in thin holiday trade.
A weaker dollar tends to support U.S. commodity prices in foreign currency terms and can lift export competitiveness for U.S. feed grains, though the move in this session was small.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.